Next UFC Event — Fight Probabilities
Opponent-adjusted modeling: we blend each fighter’s own win% with the strength of their opponents (OWP) from the last year (recency-decayed), convert that to an Elo-like prior, then blend with optional learned Elo. Purely for fun—no injuries/camps/weight cuts factored in.
0 = learned Elo only, 100 = prior only
0 = record only, 100 = OWP only
| Fight | Weight class | Start (local) | Favorite |
|---|---|---|---|
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