Upcoming Events — Fight Probabilities

Opponent-adjusted modeling: each fighter’s recent win% blended with opponents’ strength (OWP, recency-decayed) → Elo-like prior, then blended with optional learned Elo. For fun/research only. No injuries/camps/weight cuts factored.

Prior Weight (%) 0 = learned Elo only, 100 = prior only

Opponent Quality Weight (%) 0 = record only, 100 = OWP only

Recency half-life (months)

K-factor (for learned Elo)

Leagues

UFC PFL

Choose leagues for the event list and for building priors/Elo.

Window

Select Event

Fight	League	Weight class	Start (local)	Favorite (Model)
No event loaded yet.